首页> 外文会议>AIAA SciTech forum and exposition >Probabilistic Fatigue Evaluation of Floating Wind Turbine using Combination of Surrogate Model and Copula Model
【24h】

Probabilistic Fatigue Evaluation of Floating Wind Turbine using Combination of Surrogate Model and Copula Model

机译:替代模型和Copula模型相结合的浮式风力发电机概率疲劳评估

获取原文
获取外文期刊封面目录资料

摘要

Offshore wind energy has gained widespread attention and experienced a rapid development due to the significantly increasing demand on the renewable energy over the last few years. Currently, development of offshore floating wind turbine attracts lots of attentions to harvest more energy from sustained higher speed of offshore wind away from the coastline. Among many floating types, the spar type floating wind turbines, connected to the seabed through catenary mooring lines, are widely used in deep water. With stronger cyclic wind and wave loadings, the floating wind turbine could possibly experience severe fatigue damages at critical locations, which might lead to a catastrophic failure. Therefore, it is essential to evaluate the fatigue damage accumulation for the floating wind turbine during its entire lifetime (20-50 years). As demonstrated in the codes, specifications or design practices, the fatigue assessment requires massive computational costs and poses challenges of numerical simulations. Since structural dynamic responses are sensitive to complicated environmental conditions that are defined by many correlated or non-correlated random variables, defining an accurate statistical model for these environmental variables is an essential first step for the representative fatigue evaluation. Meanwhile, a thorough consideration of various load scenarios over the expected lifetime of the system is also necessary for evaluating fatigue damage accumulation over the entire life-cycle of the structure. In the present study, a copula-based multivariate probabilistic model is first built up to define the dependence among several wind and wave related environmental parameters. To achieve a faster convergence rate and reduce the number of required simulations, the Sobol sequence quasi-random sampling technique is implemented to select representative environmental conditions that could efficiently cover the complete design space. The selected environmental parameters are then utilized to characterize the wind and wave loads in the multi-physics code FAST to obtain the corresponding short-term structural dynamic response. The fatigue damage assessment is based on the rainflow counting method and the Miner's law with the Goodman correction. A surrogate model based on the Kriging framework is implemented to evaluate the short-term equivalent fatigue stress range under different environmental scenarios and at different locations of the floating wind turbine. In addition, the uncertainty effects originating from the complicated environmental conditions on the site will be incorporated into a probabilistic fatigue evaluation framework to assess the lifetime accumulated fatigue damage of a spar type floating wind turbine.
机译:在过去的几年中,由于对可再生能源的需求显着增加,海上风能受到了广泛的关注并经历了快速的发展。当前,海上浮动式风力涡轮机的开发吸引了许多关注,以从远离海岸线的持续较高的海上风速中获取更多的能量。在许多浮动类型中,通过悬链式系泊缆线连接到海床的翼梁式浮动风力涡轮机广泛用于深水中。随着循环风和波浪载荷的增加,浮动风力涡轮机可能会在关键位置遭受严重的疲劳破坏,这可能会导致灾难性的故障。因此,至关重要的是评估浮动风力涡轮机在其整个使用寿命(20至50年)中的疲劳损伤累积。正如规范,规范或设计实践中所证明的那样,疲劳评估需要大量的计算成本,并给数值模拟带来了挑战。由于结构动力响应对由许多相关或不相关的随机变量定义的复杂环境条件敏感,因此,为这些环境变量定义准确的统计模型是代表性疲劳评估必不可少的第一步。同时,对于评估结构整个生命周期中的疲劳损伤累积,也有必要全面考虑系统预期寿命内的各种载荷情况。在本研究中,首先建立了一个基于copula的多元概率模型,以定义与风浪相关的几个环境参数之间的依赖关系。为了获得更快的收敛速度并减少所需的仿真次数,实施了Sobol序列准随机采样技术以选择可以有效覆盖整个设计空间的代表性环境条件。然后,将选定的环境参数用于表征多物理场代码FAST中的风和波浪载荷,以获得相应的短期结构动力响应。疲劳损伤评估是基于雨流计数法和具有Goodman校正的Miner定律。实施了基于克里格框架的替代模型,以评估在不同环境情况下以及在浮动风力涡轮机的不同位置处的短期等效疲劳应力范围。此外,源自现场复杂环境条件的不确定性影响将被纳入概率疲劳评估框架中,以评估翼梁式浮动风力涡轮机的寿命累积疲劳损伤。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号