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Group decision making techniques for risk assessment: a literature review and research directions

机译:风险评估的群体决策技术:文献综述和研究方向

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Risk assessment is part of a decision making process that help organizations to achieve intended objectives. For this purpose, the literature presents several studies that propose computing with words (CW) combined with decision making techniques. It is common sense that in the organizational context, risk assessment should be reached by a group of experts. However, it was not found attempts of a literature review for group decision making techniques that support risk assessment. Therefore, this paper presents a review of 87 studies since 1996 that propose group decision making techniques to risk assessment. It presents a bibliometric analysis considering their year of publication, country, journal and subject. Also, the reviewed studies were classified according to the inputs (crisp or soft), linguistic representations and group decision methods. The results showed a predominance of Multicriteria Decision Making (MCDM) methods and an increase of fuzzy sets generalization proposals. In addition, it was found that the majority of the studies apply aggregation methods considering the individual experts judgments instead of consensus. Finally, this paper suggests some research directions for further studies.
机译:风险评估是帮助组织实现预期目标的决策过程的一部分。为此,文献提出了一些研究,这些研究提出了结合决策技术的单词计算(CW)。在组织范围内,应该由一组专家来进行风险评估,这是常识。但是,没有发现文献综述尝试对支持风险评估的群体决策技术进行尝试。因此,本文对1996年以来的87项研究进行了综述,提出了用于风险评估的群体决策技术。它提供了一份有关其出版年份,国家/地区,期刊和主题的文献计量分析。此外,根据输入(酥脆或柔和的),语言表示形式和小组决策方法对审查的研究进行分类。结果表明,多准则决策(MCDM)方法占优势,并且模糊集泛化建议的数量有所增加。此外,发现大多数研究都采用综合方法,这些方法考虑的是个别专家的判断,而不是共识。最后,本文提出了进一步研究的一些研究方向。

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