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Predicting the Need for Energy Efficiency Upgrades of Residential Buildings through Data-Driven Modeling

机译:通过数据驱动的模型预测住宅建筑物的能效升级需求

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Home energy audits are a commonly used method to assess the performance and energy efficiency of residential buildings. In many cases these audits are offered to residential homeowners as a way to gauge the need for and possible implementation of energy efficiency retrofits. However, these energy audits are also time-intensive, and can have low benefit-cost ratios if the recommendations developed are not acted on in the form of energy efficiency investments on the part of the homeowner. Additionally many homeowners can be hesitant to conduct an energy audit, limiting the amount of homes that can be targeted for improvements. Given the increasing amount of data and information available today, particularly thanks to smart grid infrastructure, smart meters, IoT devices, reanalysis-based weather data, utility data, etc, as well as improved connectivity and communication, this offers an opportunity to utilize data-driven methods to assess the performance of a residential building. Using data-driven techniques, this research works towards an assessment tool that can be used to assess the efficiency of residential buildings without the need for a physical energy audit. Energy use data and weather data are collected for 74 homes in multiple climate zones to develop inverse models. These inverse models are then used, in conjunction with a community-level model comparisons, to detect abnormalities. These point outliers or use-pattern abnormalities may indicate an inefficiency, or a relatively lower-performing home in comparison to neighboring homes. Types of inefficiencies are identified and several case study homes are analyzed. The results of this work will help to the construction community to target homes in need of energy efficiency upgrades, ultimately motivating improved sustainability of residential buildings.
机译:家庭能源审计是评估住宅建筑物的性能和能效的一种常用方法。在许多情况下,这些审核是提供给住宅房主的,以此来衡量对节能改造的需求和可能的实施方式。但是,这些能源审计也很耗时,并且如果制定的建议没有以房主方面的能源效率投资的形式付诸实施,则收益/成本比率可能会很低。另外,许多房主可能会犹豫不决地进行能源审核,从而限制了可用于改善目标的房屋数量。鉴于当今可用的数据和信息数量不断增加,特别是由于智能电网基础设施,智能电表,IoT设备,基于重新分析的天气数据,公用事业数据等,以及改善的连接性和通信性,这为利用数据提供了机会驱动的方法来评估住宅建筑物的性能。使用数据驱动的技术,这项研究致力于开发一种评估工具,该工具可用于评估住宅建筑物的效率,而无需进行物理能源审核。收集了多个气候区中74个房屋的能源使用数据和天气数据,以建立反模型。然后,将这些逆模型与社区级别的模型比较一起使用,以检测异常。这些点离群值或使用模式异常可能表示效率低下,或与相邻房屋相比性能相对较低的房屋。确定低效率的类型,并分析几个案例研究之家。这项工作的结果将有助于建筑社区确定需要提高能效的房屋,最终促进改善住宅建筑的可持续性。

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