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Industrialization and Economic Growth in China: A Panel Test of Kaldor’s Growth Laws

机译:中国的工业化与经济增长:卡尔多增长规律的面板检验

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China has experienced sustained and rapid economic growth since its reform in 1978. Researchers have cast lots of attentions to explain China’s economic growth and attributed it to the rapid growing manufacturing in the process of industrialization. Regional economic growth and industrialization process in China from 1978-2016 are shown in this paper. Using province panel data, this paper explores the relationship between total output growth and manufacturing growth based on Kaldor’s laws to answer whether manufacturing is the engine of economic growth. The regression results confirm all hypotheses in Kaldor’s growth laws. Positive relationship between manufacturing and GDP growth is confirmed. Increasing returns to scale is verified in manufacturing. Employment from non-manufacturing to manufacturing can improve the labor productivity and growth rate of total output.
机译:自1978年改革以来,中国经历了持续快速的经济增长。研究人员投入了大量精力来解释中国的经济增长,并将其归因于工业化过程中制造业的快速增长。本文显示了1978-2016年中国的区域经济增长和工业化过程。本文使用省级面板数据,根据卡尔多定律来探讨总产出增长与制造业增长之间的关系,以回答制造业是否是经济增长的引擎。回归结果证实了卡尔多增长定律中的所有假设。制造业与GDP增长之间存在正相关关系。规模回报率的提高已在制造中得到验证。从非制造业到制造业的就业可以提高劳动生产率和总产出增长率。

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