Increasing Efficiency of Using Wind Diesel Complexes through Intellectual Forecasting Power Consumption

摘要

The development of the Arctic territories of Russia requires reliable sources of electricity, and the region needs new solutions and technologies. It is necessary to plan not only the modernization and expansion of the existing power grid facilities to increase the efficiency of the energy complexes, but also to use distributed generation. The deviation of real loads from the indicators of the summer modal day used in the calculations of the energy balances in the Arctic may be 40-50%. It is necessary to develop algorithms that will allow predicting the operating modes of wind-diesel complexes to cover the peaks of the electrical load. The consumer needs a system for intelligent prediction of energy consumption and optimization of the load curve. The article provides the necessary information based on which it is possible to analyze and identify the dependence of electricity consumption on climate change.