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Multivariate Analysis of PPP Project Risk Based on System Dynamics

机译:基于系统动力学的PPP项目风险多元分析

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Public-private-partnership (PPP) is a collaboration form between one or more public and private sectors, of a long-term nature typically. This paper is based on the case Shijiazhuang International Exhibition Center to explore multivariate analysis of PPP project risk. Based on the risk allocation mechanism of this project, a system of risk factors is summarized, divided into three sub-systems, including: cooperation effectiveness sub-system, cooperation environment sub-system, and construction and operation sub-system. Through establishing the system dynamics mode, it can be concluded government efficiency and contract documents conflict are key elements. What's more, the system has two positive feedback closed loops. This paper compares the results of the other three methods, and discusses the difference between them to correct conclusion. In conclusion, contract documents conflict and project company efficiency should be controlled strictly in this project.
机译:公私伙伴关系(PPP)是一个或多个公共和私营部门之间的合作形式,通常是长期性的。本文基于石家庄国际展览中心的案例,探讨了PPP项目风险的多元分析。根据该项目的风险分配机制,总结了一个风险因素系统,分为三个子系统,包括:合作效力子系统,合作环境子系统和建设和运行子系统。通过建立系统动态模式,可以得出结论,政府效率和合同文件冲突是关键要素。更重要的是,系统有两个正反馈封闭环。本文比较了其他三种方法的结果,并讨论了它们之间的差异来正确结论。总之,合同文件冲突和项目公司效率应严格在该项目中控制。

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