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Calibration of Factors of Safety for Slope Stability of Dikes

机译:堤防边坡稳定性安全系数的标定

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Dikes in the Netherlands are by law required to comply with predefined safety standards. The goal of this paper is to derive the safety format and the required factor of safety for the inner slope (landside slope) instability failure mode. The first step is to derive the required target reliability for a cross-section. The second step is to derive a safety format in which all uncertain variables in the slope stability computation are identified and accounted for by sufficiently safe parameters estimates. The third step is to derive the relation between target reliability and required Factor of Safety. This is done by evaluating 48 test cases. For each test case, the Factor of Safety is computed based on the safety format, as well the corresponding reliability index. This paper shows how to derive a required Factor of Safety based on a predefined target reliability. However, the spread in this relationship is significant. Hence, a full probabilistic analysis would lead to more accurate slope stability assessments.
机译:根据法律,荷兰的堤防必须符合预定义的安全标准。本文的目的是推导出内坡(陆坡)失稳破坏模式的安全格式和所需的安全系数。第一步是得出横截面所需的目标可靠性。第二步是得出一种安全格式,在该安全格式中,边坡稳定性计算中的所有不确定变量都可以通过足够安全的参数估计来识别和说明。第三步是得出目标可靠性与所需安全系数之间的关系。这是通过评估48个测试用例来完成的。对于每个测试用例,基于安全格式以及相应的可靠性指标来计算安全系数。本文展示了如何基于预定义的目标可靠性得出所需的安全系数。但是,这种关系中的差异很大。因此,全面的概率分析将导致更准确的边坡稳定性评估。

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