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Analysis of Sloshing Impact Pressures Using Different Extreme mStatistical Theories

机译:使用不同的极限m统计理论分析晃荡冲击压力

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In the present paper, statistical analysis of peak values in sloshing-induced impact pressures is carried out. The estimation of sloshing impact pressures is the key to design load selection which is substantial in cargo structure design. Even if the tank motion is random, extreme values of local impact pressures are dependent on statistical theory. Traditionally, the probability of peak pressures is considered to follow distributions such as Weibull distribution function. However, an extended statistical investigation on sloshing impact pressures is required for the accuracy of estimation. In this study, a variety of statistical distributions including generalized extreme value distribution and three-parameter log-logistic distribution are applied to peak pressure data. The data is obtained from three dimensional sloshing model tests that are conducted in Seoul National University Sloshing Experiment Facility. Peak pressures from 20%, 50% and 95% tank filling levels are considered. Statistical distributions are fitted to peak pressure data using three different parameter estimation method. These fittings are compared by observing probability of exceedance diagrams as well as probability plot correlation coefficient test for goodness-of-fit. A comparison of estimated maximum pressures for different return periods is also executed.
机译:在本文中,对晃动引起的冲击压力中的峰值进行了统计分析。晃荡冲击压力的估计是设计载荷选择的关键,这在货物结构设计中至关重要。即使油箱运动是随机的,局部冲击压力的极值也取决于统计理论。传统上,峰值压力的概率被认为遵循诸如威布尔分布函数之类的分布。但是,为了估计的准确性,需要对晃动的冲击压力进行扩展的统计研究。在这项研究中,将各种统计分布(包括广义极值分布和三参数对数逻辑分布)应用于峰值压力数据。数据是从在首尔国立大学晃荡实验设施中进行的三维晃荡模型测试获得的。考虑了罐填充水平为20%,50%和95%的峰值压力。使用三种不同的参数估计方法将统计分布拟合到峰值压力数据。通过观察超出概率图以及拟合优度的概率图相关系数测试来比较这些拟合。还对不同返回时间段的估计最大压力进行了比较。

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