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A Hydro-Economic Perspective into South Florida's Water Resource Management Tradeoffs under Climate Change

机译:气候变化下南佛罗里达水资源管理权衡的水文经济学视角

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South Florida's water and environmental resources are already under pressure from socio-economic growth and declining ecosystems. The region has one of the world's largest systems of canals, levees and water control structures to manage water resources under extreme drought and flood conditions. Emerging challenges such as sea level rise and climate change increase the need for adaptive water resources management strategies to sustain human and natural systems in the region. Understanding the tradeoffs of integrated water resources management within this unique, multi-purpose water resources system under existing and projected conditions is key for developing effective adaptation strategies. We apply a hydro-economic model to investigate the tradeoffs associated with reliable water supply for urban and agricultural sectors, while maintaining fragile ecosystems and protecting metropolitan areas against flooding. Furthermore, we explore climate change impacts on the system-wide tradeoffs by running the hydro-economic optimization model under a set of climate change and sea level rise scenarios. Results illustrate implications of potential climatic changes on integrated water resources management in south Florida, providing insights for infrastructure investments that will be needed to maintain current levels of service.
机译:南佛罗里达州的水和环境资源已经受到社会经济增长和生态系统衰退的压力。该地区拥有世界上最大的运河,堤坝和水控制结构系统之一,可以在极端干旱和洪涝条件下管理水资源。海平面上升和气候变化等新出现的挑战增加了对适应性水资源管理战略的需求,以维持该地区的人类和自然系统。在现有和预计的条件下,了解这种独特的多用途水资源系统中水资源综合管理的权衡是制定有效的适应策略的关键。我们采用水力经济模型来研究与城市和农业部门可靠供水相关的权衡,同时维持脆弱的生态系统并保护大都市地区免受洪水侵害。此外,我们通过在一组气候变化和海平面上升情景下运行水力经济优化模型,探索气候变化对全系统权衡的影响。结果说明了潜在的气候变化对南佛罗里达州水资源综合管理的影响,为保持当前服务水平所需的基础设施投资提供了见识。

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