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Construction Project Safety Risk Analysis Based on the Fuzzy Fault Tree and Binary Decision Diagram

机译:基于模糊故障树和二元决策图的建设项目安全风险分析

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Construction safety risk analysis can provide the necessary insights for accident prevention. The fault tree analysis (FTA), as a conventional risk assessment tool, has gained widespread acceptance among practitioners in various industries. However, the analysis process, especially in construction settings, entails several difficulties owing to the constraint of sufficient data. To give a reliable approximation, the linguistic assessment and expert confidence index method are employed to convert the imprecise probability of occurrence of basic events into triangular fuzzy numbers. Owning to a large number of basic elements contributing to system failure in construction setting, the binary decision diagram (BDD), as a symbolic approach, is employed to overcome limitations of the algorithms based on the FTA in terms of both accuracy and efficiency. In the paper, the fuzzy Boolean algebras are utilized to determine the probability of the top event and the fuzzy importance measure (FIM) of the basic event. The approach proposed was verified using a scaffolding collapse case as an illustration. The paper offers some advantages of allowing to linguistic assessment for risk events, and also efficiently treating the risk analysis with the BDD method. The approach proposed can further construction safety practices as a fuzzy decision tool.
机译:施工安全风险分析可以为事故预防提供必要的见识。故障树分析(FTA)作为一种常规的风险评估工具,已经在各个行业的实践者中得到了广泛的认可。然而,由于足够的数据的约束,特别是在建筑环境中的分析过程会带来一些困难。为了给出可靠的近似值,采用语言学评估和专家置信度指数方法将基本事件发生的不精确概率转换为三角模糊数。由于大量的基本要素导致了施工环境中的系统故障,二进制决策图(BDD)作为一种象征性方法,被用来克服基于FTA的算法在准确性和效率上的局限性。在本文中,模糊布尔代数用于确定最高事件的概率和基本事件的模糊重要性测度(FIM)。提出的方法已通过使用脚手架倒塌案例进行了验证。本文提供了一些优势,允许对风险事件进行语言评估,并且还可以使用BDD方法有效地处理风险分析。所提出的方法可以进一步将建筑安全实践作为模糊决策工具。

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