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How Does the Dependence between Inspectors Impact Capture-Recapture Estimation? An Empirical Study

机译:检查员如何影响捕获 - 重新捕获估算?实证研究

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Studies on Capture-recapture (CRC) method in software engineering suggested that the accuracy of the estimates were still far from satisfying. Although debates exist, researchers believe the dependence between different inspectors is one of the factors impacting the accuracy of CRC estimates. In this study, we apply linear correlation to measure the degree of dependence (measured by correlation coefficient, i.e., COV) between inspectors, based on which, we investigate the relation between COV and estimation accuracy (measure by Relative Error, i.e., RE) using the Unconditional Maximum Likelihood Estimator (Mt-UMLE) through nine sets of data from five papers. Besides, the confidence interval (CI)-(which is also an important indicator to reflect CRC estimating accuracy), may also be impacted by COV, to this end, we also investigated the relation between COV and CI. The major results show that: a) It is clear that there is an obviously inverse proportion on COV and CI, and when the COV=0, the radius of CI is almost in interval [1, 6] (exclude the outliers). b) There has also an inverse proportion with COV and RE, and the absolute value of RE increased with the absolute value of COV increased. So we can conclude that the accuracy of CRC estimates had been impacted by the dependence of inspectors. Our study suggested that the correlation cannot be ignored in the study of CRC.
机译:在软件工程研究捕获再捕获(CRC)方法建议,估计的准确度仍远远不能满足。尽管存在许多争论,研究人员认为,不同的检查员之间的依赖关系是影响CRC估计的准确度的因素之一。在这项研究中,我们应用线性相关测量依存度检查人员,在此基础上,我们研究COV和估计精度之间的关系之间(由相关系数,即COV测量的)(由相对误差的措施,即,RE)使用无条件最大似然估计(MT-UMLE)到九组数据从五个论文。此外,置信区间(CI) - (也是以反映CRC估计精度的重要指标),也可以通过COV的影响,为此,我们还研究COV和CI之间的关系。主要研究结果表明:1)清楚的是,存在对COV和CI的明显反比例,并且当COV = 0,CI的半径几乎是在区间[1,6](排除异常值)。 b)由于还与COV和RE成反比,和RE的绝对值增加同COV的绝对值增加。因此,我们可以得出结论,CRC估计的准确度已经被检查人员的依赖影响。我们的研究表明,相关性不能在CRC的研究被忽略。

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