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Simulating the micro-level behavior of emergency department for macro-level features prediction

机译:模拟急诊科的微观行为以进行宏观特征预测

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Emergency departments are currently facing major pressures due to rising demand caused by population growth, aging and high expectations of service quality. With changes continuing to challenge healthcare systems, developing solutions and formulating policies require a good understanding of the complex and dynamic nature of the relevant systems. However, as a typically complex system, it is hard to grasp the non-linear association between macro-level features and micro-level behavior for a systematic understanding. Instead of describing all the potential causes of this complex issue, in this paper we present a layer-based application framework to discover knowledge of an emergency department system through simulating micro-level behaviors of its components to facilitate a systematic understanding. Finally, case studies are used to demonstrate the potential use of the proposed approach. Results show that the proposed framework can significantly reflect the non-linear association between micro-level behavior and macro-level features.
机译:由于人口增长,老龄化和对服务质量的高期望引起的需求上升,急诊部门目前面临着巨大的压力。随着变化不断挑战医疗保健系统,制定解决方案和制定政策要求对相关系统的复杂性和动态性有充分的了解。但是,作为一个典型的复杂系统,很难掌握宏观特征与微观行为之间的非线性关联以进行系统的理解。在本文中,我们没有描述这个复杂问题的所有潜在原因,而是提出了一个基于层的应用程序框架,通过模拟应急部门系统的各个组成部分的微观行为来发现其知识,从而有助于系统地理解。最后,通过案例研究来证明所建议方法的潜在用途。结果表明,提出的框架可以显着反映微观行为与宏观特征之间的非线性关联。

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    《Winter Simulation Conference》|2015年|171-182|共12页
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