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Asymptotically Independent Markov Sampling: a new MCMC scheme for Bayesian Inference

机译:渐近独立马尔可夫采样:贝叶斯推理的新MCMC方案

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In Bayesian inference, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of an uncertain quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution based on relevant data. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered posterior distributions cannot be sampled directly. In this case, the most popular strategies are the importance sampling method, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and annealing. In this paper, we introduce a new scheme for Bayesian inference, called Asymptotically Independent Markov Sampling (AIMS), which is based on the above methods. The efficiency of AIMS is demonstrated with an example that involves a multi-modal target distribution.
机译:在贝叶斯推断中,许多问题可以表示为基于相关数据对关于后验分布的不确定兴趣量的期望的评估。标准的蒙特卡洛方法通常不适用,因为遇到的后验分布不能直接采样。在这种情况下,最流行的策略是重要性采样方法,马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛方法和退火方法。在本文中,我们基于上述方法介绍了一种新的贝叶斯推理方案,即渐近独立马尔可夫采样(AIMS)。通过一个涉及多模式目标分布的示例演示了AIMS的效率。

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