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Taking Advantage of Uncertainty in Mission Planning

机译:在任务规划中利用不确定性

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Typical mission maneuver planning is taken up with designing the nominal burn sequence. For example, in a normal Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit (GTO), one is concerned with the effect on the trajectory from each burn, assuming all the previous have performed nominally. Principal effort is devoted to evaluating whether the resulting trajectory meets visibility, radio frequency interference requirements, solar constraints and so forth. Customarily one assumes that prevailing orbit determination uncertainty, engine performance and attitude control uncertainties are sufficiently small that problems encountered can be handled as they arise in flight. This assumption is exacerbated by the underlying belief that coherently handling all the sources of uncertainty requires too much computing time, too many runs of too many alternate cases to make the effort worthwhile. This need not be the case. It is precisely because the prevailing uncertainties are reasonably small that differential techniques can be applied to address the ensemble of prevailing uncertainties in the same computation used to propagate the planned nominal trajectory. One can readily determine, for example, what range of post burn longitude drift rates to expect. Equally quickly one can decide how to adjust nominal targets to comfortably handle the expected range of orbit, attitude and burn uncertainty. This paper discusses the technique and applies it to trajectories seen in recent missions. It is shown how the result is a more robust burn plan at remarkably low cost in the development process.
机译:典型的任务操纵规划是用设计标称烧伤序列的。例如,在正常的地质同步传输轨道(GTO)中,假设所有上一个名义上执行所有先前的所有燃烧都涉及对每个烧伤的轨迹的影响。主要工作致力于评估所产生的轨迹是否符合可见性,射频干扰要求,太阳系等等。通常之一假设普遍的轨道确定不确定性,发动机性能和姿态控制的不确定性足够小,可以在飞行中出现时处理遇到的问题。这种假设是由潜在的信念加剧,即连贯处理所有不确定性来源需要太多的计算时间,太多的太多替代案例来使努力值得。这种情况并非如此。正是由于普遍的不确定性合理地小,所以可以应用差分技术来解决在用于传播计划的标称轨迹的相同计算中的普遍不确定性的集合。可以容易地确定,例如,燃烧经度漂移率的范围是多少要期望的。同样快速地可以决定如何调整标称目标以舒适地处理预期的轨道范围,态度和燃烧不确定性。本文讨论了该技术,并将其应用于最近的任务中所看到的轨迹。显示结果如何在开发过程中以显着低成本更强大的燃烧计划。

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