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Predicting and Mitigating the Risk of Catastrophic Incidents

机译:预测和减轻灾难性事件的风险

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Despite a strong focus on personnel safety and increasing focus on process safety, serious safety incidents continue to occur in oil & gas, petrochemicals, and other asset intensive industries. Headline grabbing examples from the past couple of years include: 1. The Kleen Energy explosion which killed six workers and injured 50 2. The CNRL Upgrader fire that led to a multiple months shutdown 3. The Upper Big Branch mine explosion involving 29 fatalities 4. The Macondo well explosion that killed 11 before triggering the largest offshore oil spill in United States history In fact, major incidents are occurring with increasing frequency. As a recent report by Marsh's Energy Practice highlights, more than one third of the 100 most costly property losses of the past four decades have occurred within the past nine years (see figure). This trend of increased major incident frequency has severe implications, as the cost of a single catastrophic event can reach upwards of $1 billion in damage and opportunity costs, with significant environmental impact, serious injuries and even loss of life.
机译:尽管高度重视人员安全并且越来越重视过程安全,但是石油与天然气,石化和其他资产密集型行业仍继续发生严重的安全事件。过去几年中抢占头条的例子包括:1.克莱恩能源爆炸案炸死6名工人,炸伤50人2. CNRL升空器大火导致数月停工3.上部大支部煤矿爆炸,造成29人死亡4。 Macondo井爆炸在引发美国历史上最大的海上漏油事件之前已杀死11人。事实上,重大事故的发生频率在增加。正如马什(Marsh)的《能源实践》最近的一份报告所强调的那样,过去40年最昂贵的100起财产损失中,有超过三分之一发生在过去9年内(见图)。重大事故发生频率增加的趋势具有严重的影响,因为单个灾难性事件的成本可能高达10亿美元的损失和机会成本,对环境造成严重影响,甚至造成严重的人身伤害甚至生命损失。

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