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Probabilistic Slope Stability Analysis of a 300 m High Embankment Dam

机译:300 m高路堤大坝概率边坡稳定性分析。

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Based on the statistical properties of material parameters of 314 m high Shuangjiangkou gravel-clay co re rockfill dam, the p robabilistic slope stability analyses for the critical slip surface of the dam slope are perform ed using the Monte-Carlo method. The uncertainty of the shear strength and the spatial variation of the soils and the f luctuation of the phrea tic line in th e dam are considered in analysis. The factor of safety and the reliability index of the dam slope under different construction and reservoir i mpounding stages are investigated. The results show that the reliability index of the da m slope with a larger factor of safety is not always bigger than that with a sm aller factor of safety. Therefore, for the evaluation of the stability of the embankm ent dam slopes, the assessment of dam safety will be more scientific and reasonable if the uncerta inty of property parameters of the soils can be considered.
机译:基于双江口高314 m碎石粘土堆石坝材料参数的统计特性,采用蒙特卡罗方法对坝坡临界滑动面进行了概率边坡稳定性分析。在分析中考虑了大坝抗剪强度的不确定性和土壤的空间变化以及坝线的波动。研究了不同施工阶段和水库蓄水阶段的大坝边坡安全系数和可靠度指标。结果表明,安全系数较大的边坡可靠度指标并不总是比安全系数较小的可靠度指标大。因此,对于堤坝边坡的稳定性评估,如果可以考虑土壤特性参数的不确定性,则对大坝安全性的评估将更加科学合理。

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