Droughts in the Philippines: The Pampanga River Basin

摘要

• characterize different drought types using a hydrological model and a drought index • identify ENSO effects during historical dry years • determine the effects of SRESa1b future scenario GCM ensembles • determine the usability of seasonal climate forecast data to reduce uncertainty in the outputs of GCMs. • quantify the effects of drought on agriculture using production data and compare it with drought effects in the soil and ENSO • identify suitable water resources management strategies that would minimize drought impacts