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Research on the Predicting Models of Insurance Premium during the 12th Five-Year in China's Insurance

机译:中国保险“十二五”期间保费收入预测模型研究

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摘要

Insurance premium is a very important index for the developing situations of insurance. Based on the temporal series data of insurance premium over the past ten years, this article probes into the predicting methods for insurance premium based on grey system theory, sets up grey information renewal GM??i1??C1??j models pointing against the demerits of the traditional GM??i1??C1??jmodels, and then it makes predictions about the scale of insurance premium during 12th Five -Year Plan. Results of study can provide a reliable basis for science decisions on problems concerning about insurance.
机译:保险费是保险发展状况的重要指标。本文基于近十年来保险费的时间序列数据,探讨了基于灰色系统理论的保险费预测方法,建立了针对灰色保险的灰色信息更新GM ?? i1 ?? C1 ?? j模型。借鉴了传统的GM ?? i1 ?? C1 ?? j模型,然后对“十二五”期间的保险费规模进行了预测。研究结果可以为有关保险问题的科学决策提供可靠的依据。

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