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Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Import and Export Prices: Empirical Analysis in China

机译:汇率传递对进出口价格的影响:中国的经验分析

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This paper conducts empirical analysis on exchange rate pass-through to import and export prices in China with monthly data from 1999 to 2008, and finds that exchange rate pass-through is higher to export prices than to import prices. The analysis shows that the difference in the pass-through of exchange rate to import and export prices arises from the difference in industrial margin, international treaties and trade barrier. Based on empirical results and China's sustained trade surplus, this paper concludes that the demand elasticity of China's export is small due to strong competitive edges in price of China's export products, so the appreciation of RMB will do little in reducing China's foreign trade surplus.
机译:本文利用1999年至2008年的月度数据对中国进出口价格的汇率传递进行实证分析,发现汇率传递对出口价格的影响高于对进口价格的传递。分析表明,汇率转嫁给进出口价格的差异是由于工业利润率,国际条约和贸易壁垒的差异引起的。根据实证结果和中国持续的贸易顺差,本文得出结论,由于中国出口产品价格的强大竞争优势,中国出口的需求弹性很小,因此人民币升值对减少中国的外贸顺差几乎没有作用。

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