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Modeling and Simulation of the Impact of Air Traffic Operations on the Environment

机译:空中交通运营对环境影响的建模与仿真

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Air traffic affects the environment locally, regionally and globally. Recently, there is increased urgency to understand and mitigate the impact of air traffic on climate. Greenhouse gases, nitrogen oxides, and contrails generated by air traffic affect the climate in different and uncertain ways. Understanding the changes requires a hierarchy of models to deal with multiple disciplines, time scales ranging from few minutes to few hundred years and uncertainties in modeling parameters affecting both science and policy. The models described in this paper are useful to evaluate alternate operational decisions at the national level. The modeling approach is built on the simulation and optimization techniques developed for the design of efficient traffic flow management strategies in the presence of uncertainties. The air traffic flow simulation is augmented by models that simulate aircraft fuel flow, emissions and contrails. The integrated capability enables the evaluation of different traffic flow management concepts based on congestion, capacity, efficiency and emissions. The impact of various decisions on climate can be evaluated by converting CO_2 emissions, non-CO_2 emissions and contrails through the use of radiative forcing functions. Alternatively, the optimization results from the simulation can be used as inputs to global climate modeling tools like the FAA's Aviation Environmental Portfolio Management Tool for Impacts.
机译:空中交通会在本地,区域和全球范围内影响环境。最近,越来越迫切需要了解和减轻空中交通对气候的影响。空中交通产生的温室气体,氮氧化物和凝结尾迹以不同且不确定的方式影响气候。了解变化需要模型的层次结构来处理多个学科,时间范围从几分钟到几百年不等,并且建模参数的不确定性会影响科学和政策。本文中描述的模型对于评估国家层面的替代运营决策很有用。该建模方法建立在仿真和优化技术的基础上,该仿真和优化技术是为在存在不确定性的情况下设计高效交通流管理策略而开发的。通过模拟飞机燃油流量,排放和凝结尾迹的模型来增强空中交通流量模拟。集成的功能可以根据拥塞,容量,效率和排放来评估不同的交通流管理概念。可以通过使用辐射强迫函数转换CO_2排放,非CO_2排放和凝结尾迹来评估各种决策对气候的影响。另外,模拟的优化结果可以用作全球气候建模工具的输入,例如FAA的“影响的航空环境资产组合管理工具”。

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