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The Stochastic Time Delay Model and Prediction for Space Teleoperation

机译:随机时间延迟模型及空间洞穴预测

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Space teleoperation means an extension of human operator's intelligence to the remote telerobot in the space, and has been widely applied in space exploration and service. The main difficulty in teleoperation is the large stochastic time delay between operator and telerobot. Previous works on space teleoperation mainly focus on the control design, and some researches also give good solutions to the prediction of net work time delay, but few has been put forward to give a sufficient analysis and precise prediction for time delay in space situation. This paper conducts a study upon the time delay measure, model and prediction for space teleoperation. Time delays produced by different nodes of the space-ground round trip are measured and analyzed using statistical methods. And probability density distribution models are proposed and verified by parameter Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and x~2 Goodness of Fit Principle Test (GFT). Steps above show that in our teleoperation system, uplink time delay is a short-term autocorrelated sequence varying between 1.05s and 1.20s. Then, based on Non-Gaussian Auto-Regressive Model (NGAR) and Kalman Filtering (KF), uplink time delay sequence is predicted with absolute error less than 80ms and relative error below 8%. Finally, computer simulation results show that motion precision simulated by the virtual model of the telerobot will be improved with predicted value of the uplink time delay compensated, and future work is outlined in the end of this paper.
机译:太空洞穴操作意味着人类运营商对空间中远程遥控器的智能的延伸,并且已广泛应用于太空勘探和服务。遥操作中的主要困难是操作员和Telerobot之间的大型随机时间延迟。以前的工程在太空洞穴中主要专注于控制设计,一些研究还给出了净工作时间延迟预测的良好解决方案,但很少已经提出了足够的分析和精确预测空间情况的时间延迟。本文对太空洞穴的时间延迟测量,模型和预测进行了研究。使用统计方法测量并分析由空间地往返的不同节点产生的时间延迟。通过参数最大似然估计(MLE)和X〜2的拟合原理试验(GFT)提出和验证概率密度分布模型。上面的步骤表明,在我们的遥操作系统中,上行链路时间延迟是在1.05秒和1.20s之间变化的短期自相关序列。然后,基于非高斯自动回归模型(NGAR)和Kalman滤波(KF),以绝对误差小于80ms和低于8%的相对误差预测上行链路时间延迟序列。最后,计算机仿真结果表明,通过对端子延迟补偿的上行时间延迟补偿的预测值,将改善由Telerobot的虚拟模型模拟的运动精度,并且在本文末尾概述了未来的工作。

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