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Modeling of evacuations to no-notice event by public transit system

机译:公共交通系统对无通知事件的疏散建模

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A scientific and effective evacuation plan plays an important role in improving the event reaction ability of the urban traffic system. Many unpredictable natural or man-made disasters result in no-notice evacuation events. This type evacuation has a main trait different with tradition hurricane evacuation and no time to evacuate by their cars. Such specific characteristics of the no-notice evacuation contribute to the complexity of the problem. This complexity affects the evacuation zone definition, the evacuation objectives and the solution approach. Firstly, they need to leave the stricken area quickly by foot, than arrive to the evacuation shelter by public transit system. So we want present a new model to solve no-notice evacuation problem. This research presents an two-phase optimization modeling technique to solve this problem: First, all residents or other evacuees (such as the tourists) are evacuated safely from the danger zone to temporary safe stop by foot. Second, the people who will be picked up by public transit, such as buses, taxies or cars (these cars can be pay the bill by the government or voluntary). The simulation result shows that the proposed algorithm and model can be effectively carried out in a no-notice emergency evacuation.
机译:科学有效的疏散计划对提高城市交通系统的事件反应能力具有重要作用。许多不可预测的自然或人为灾难导致撤离事件无人注意。这种类型的疏散的主要特征与传统的飓风疏散不同,没有时间乘汽车疏散。通知疏散的这种特定特征加剧了问题的复杂性。这种复杂性会影响疏散区的定义,疏散目标和解决方案。首先,他们需要步行快速离开灾区,而不是通过公共交通系统到达避难所。因此,我们希望提出一种新模型来解决无人注意疏散问题。这项研究提出了一种两阶段的优化建模技术来解决此问题:首先,将所有居民或其他被疏散者(如游客)从危险区域安全地疏散到临时安全步行停靠处。其次,将由公共交通工具接载的人们,例如公共汽车,出租车或汽车(这些汽车可由政府或自愿者支付费用)。仿真结果表明,所提出的算法和模型可以有效地在不通知紧急情况下疏散。

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