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The impact of fluctuations in coal prices on financial risk of China's coal listed companies

机译:煤炭价格波动对中国煤炭上市公司财务风险的影响

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With the rise in coal price, the proportion of loss-making enterprises show an upward trend in China's coal industry. The paper uses Altman Z-Score model to measure financial risk of 19 listed companies in the coal industry in A-share market from 1995 to 2007. Empirical results show that Year-Based price index of coal price has a negative correlation with the financial risk but not significantly, and coal chain price has a significant negative correlation with the financial risk. Further research indicates that enterprises increase bad investment and a lot of debts caused by short-term rise in coal prices, The results also show that the financial risk in the coal industry declines with the rise of GDP growth rate and increases with the rise of inflation rate.
机译:随着煤炭价格的上涨,亏损企业在中国煤炭行业的比重呈上升趋势。本文采用Altman Z-Score模型对1995年至2007年煤炭行业19家A股上市公司的财务风险进行了度量。实证结果表明,基于年的煤炭价格指数与财务风险呈负相关。但并不显着,煤炭链价格与财务风险具有显着的负相关性。进一步的研究表明,煤炭价格短期上涨导致企业增加不良投资和大量债务,结果还表明,煤炭行业的金融风险随着GDP增长率的上升而下降,而随着通货膨胀率的上升而上升。速度。

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