Forcast of Poyang lake's water level by Wavelet-ANFIS model

摘要

Poyang Lake is China's largest freshwater lake. It has good regulation role to Yangtze River. After the running of Three Georges Project, it influences the water level of Poyang Lake a lot. This paper predicts Poyang Lake's water level, it is the basic of influence research. Once there were many predicting methods, such as ANN, etc. But these methods are not very precisely. This paper uses wavelet analysis to decompose water level series, then it uses ANFIS to modeling the decomposed series, in the end it combined these series. The result shows that, the prediction accuracy rises a lot, and it is fit to used in water level predict.