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Application of Improved Multiple Linear Regression Method in Oilfield Output Forecasting

机译:改进的多元线性回归方法在油田产量预测中的应用

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In order to predict the dynamic output of an oilfield, some relevant factors with oil output are chosen on the basis of actual manufacture experience. The forecast model of linear regression analysis for an oilfield is built according to the important factors of influencing oilfield output which is obtained with the synthetic regression analysis. The improved regression model for predicting annual output of an oilfield is built up by analyzing the statistic information in the solving process of regression parameters. Meanwhile, the two forecast models are used to predict the output of an oilfield. The improved multiple linear regression model is better than the multiple linear regression model in the forecast accuracy of the oilfield output.
机译:为了预测油田的动态产量,在实际生产经验的基础上选择了一些与原油产量有关的因素。根据综合回归分析得出的影响油田产量的重要因素,建立了油田线性回归分析的预测模型。通过对回归参数求解过程中的统计信息进行分析,建立了预测油田年产量的改进回归模型。同时,使用两个预测模型来预测油田的产量。改进后的多元线性回归模型在油田产量预测精度上优于多元线性回归模型。

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