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The analysis and forecast for common senior high school education of china based on Grey Theory

机译:基于灰色理论的中国普通高中教育分析与预测

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In this study, grey relational analysis method is applied to research the relation between the development of common senior high school and some influencing factors, such as macroscopic economy, educational budget, and population. Then, a grey dynamic predict model, GM(1,1), is constructed. Using this grey predict model, we forecast four indexes about the development tendency of common senior high school in the end of the eleventh five years plan and in the period of the twelfth five years plan. Those four indexes indicate the common senior high school education absolute size, relative size, quality and enrollment ratio. From those predictive indexes, we can know the teacher’s need and the funds need. This article tries to find a new way different from traditional method to study education problems and provides scientific basis for educational management.
机译:本研究采用灰色关联分析法研究了普通高中发展与宏观经济,教育预算,人口等影响因素的关系。然后,建立了灰色动态预测模型GM(1,1)。使用该灰色预测模型,我们预测了“十一五”末期和“十二五”期间普通高中发展趋势的四个指标。这四个指标表明了普通高中教育的绝对规模,相对规模,质量和入学率。从这些预测指标中,我们可以知道教师的需求和资金需求。本文试图找到一种不同于传统方法的新方法来研究教育问题,并为教育管理提供科学依据。

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