【24h】

Hong Kong Property Market Analysis sohu.com

机译:香港房地产市场分析sohu.com

获取原文

摘要

The popularity of property investment among Hong Kong people motivates us to do a research on this topic. In this study we try to understand the behavior of Hong Kong property market by analyzing the historical data. First, we use the method of ANVOA to analyze real estate return. By one-factor ANOVA analysis, we found that the mean return (value appreciation) is roughly the same in different location or for house of different size, which is a bit contrary to our common intuition. By two-way ANOVA analysis, we found that different district favor different flat size. Small flats in Hong Kong Island and Kowloon achieve best property yield and new territory medium flats achieve best property yield. Second, based on the variable Rental and Price,Workforce Variables,Interest Rate,HSI and Gold,CPI, GDP and Export we had collected, we tried to interpret the property market in Hong Kong and build a regression model for CCI. We looked at the relation between CCI and every variable we had, and finally we found that only Hang Seng Index maintained a very constant and reasonable relation with CCI. So we fixed a CCI model with Hang Seng Index as independent variable. And we found that the prediction power of this model is quite good.
机译:香港人中房地产投资的盛行促使我们对这一主题进行了研究。在本研究中,我们试图通过分析历史数据来了解香港房地产市场的行为。首先,我们使用ANVOA方法分析房地产收益。通过单因素方差分析,我们发现在不同位置或不同规模的房屋中,平均收益(价值增值)大致相同,这有点与我们的直觉相反。通过双向方差分析,我们发现不同的地区偏爱不同的单位面积。港岛及九龙区的小型单位取得最佳的物业收益,而新界中型单位则取得最佳的物业收益。其次,基于我们收集的变量租金和价格,劳动力变量,利率,恒指和黄金,CPI,GDP和出口,我们试图解释香港的房地产市场并建立CCI回归模型。我们研究了CCI与我们拥有的每个变量之间的关系,最后我们发现只有恒生指数与CCI保持着非常恒定和合理的关系。因此,我们修复了以恒生指数为自变量的CCI模型。并且我们发现该模型的预测能力非常好。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号