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Application of grey incidence analysis to China's balance of payments impact in financial crisis

机译:灰色关联度分析在金融危机对中国国际收支的影响中的应用

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This article studies the incidence of China's current economic situation with the balance of international payment in the context of US financial crisis. After having analyzed several connected relational method, it is more precise to apply grey relational theory in view of the small sample for smallest error. Hence, we use grey theory for selection of representative economic indicator and corresponding indicators with the balance of payments. According to the sampled data from 2005 to 2008, import trade of goods has the higher degree of grey incidence with China's GDP, namely 0.7506, compared with the import cargoes trade, the foreign direct investment, China's outward foreign direct investment. Then it explains the financial crisis's impact on China's international balance of payments, especially on the export of trade in goods. Finally, from the empirical results the article has analyzed the impact of the financial crisis on our national economy and put forward three suggestions.
机译:本文研究了美国金融危机背景下中国当前经济形势与国际收支平衡的发生率。在分析了几种联系关系方法之后,鉴于样本量最小,误差最小,应用灰色关联理论更为精确。因此,我们使用灰色理论来选择代表性的经济指标和具有国际收支的相应指标。根据2005年至2008年的抽样数据,货物进口贸易与中国GDP的灰色关联度较高,即0.7506,比进口货物贸易,外国直接投资,中国的对外直接投资高。然后,它解释了金融危机对中国国际收支,特别是对货物贸易出口的影响。最后,从实证结果出发,分析了金融危机对我国国民经济的影响,并提出了三点建议。

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