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How simulation languages should report results: A modest proposal

机译:模拟语言应如何报告结果:一个适度的建议

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The focus of simulation software environments is on developing simulation models; much less consideration is placed on reporting results. However, the quality of the simulation model is irrelevant if the results are not interpreted correctly. The manner in which results are reported, along with a lack of standardized guidelines for reports, could contribute to the misinterpretation of results. We propose a hierarchical report structure where each reporting level provides additional detail about the simulated performance. Our approach utilizes two recent developments in output analysis: a procedure for omitting statistically meaningless digits in point estimates, and a graphical display called a MORE Plot, which conveys operational risk and statistical error in an intuitive manner on a single graph. Our motivation for developing this approach is to prevent or reduce misinterpretation of simulation results and to provide a foundation for standardized guidelines for reporting.
机译:仿真软件环境的重点是开发仿真模型。报告结果的考虑要少得多。但是,如果未正确解释结果,则仿真模型的质量无关紧要。报告结果的方式以及缺乏标准化的报告指南,可能会导致对结果的误解。我们提出了一种分层的报告结构,其中每个报告级别都提供了有关模拟性能的更多详细信息。我们的方法利用了输出分析中的两个最新进展:省略了点估计中无统计学意义的数字的过程,以及称为MORE Plot的图形显示,该图形显示以直观的方式在单个图形上传达了操作风险和统计误差。我们开发这种方法的动机是防止或减少对模拟结果的误解,并为报告的标准化指南提供基础。

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