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The Fuzzy Logic Clustering Neural Network Approach for Middle and Long Term Load Forecasting

机译:中长期负荷预测的模糊逻辑聚类神经网络方法

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Middle and long term load forecasting of power system is affected by various uncertain factors. Using clustering method numerous relative factors can be synthesized for the forecasting model so that the accuracy of the load forecasting would be improved significantly. A clustering neural network consisting of logic operators is quoted in this paper, which can be used in mid-long term load forecasting. Applying logic operators and in the fuzzy theory, the algorithm speed of the clustering network will be increased. Although competitive learning algorithm is used here for the network, it solves the dead unit problem and gives more room to select the initial values of the clustering center in the clustering analysis of the history data. The proposed model considers the influences of both history and future uncertain factors. Compared with the traditional methods, the results show that the new algorithm improves the accuracy of load forecasting considerably.
机译:电力系统的中间和长期负荷预测受到各种不确定因素的影响。使用聚类方法可以为预测模型合成许多相对因素,以便显着提高负载预测的准确性。本文引用了由逻辑运算符组成的聚类神经网络,可用于中长期负载预测。应用逻辑运算符和模糊理论,将增加群集网络的算法速度。虽然此处使用具有竞争性学习算法的网络,但它解决了死亡单元问题,并给出了更多空间来选择历史数据的聚类分析中聚类中心的群集中心的初始值。拟议的模型考虑了历史和未来不确定因素的影响。与传统方法相比,结果表明,新算法提高了负荷预测的准确性。

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