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The Empirical Study on Stylized Facts in Brent Crude Oil Price System

机译:布伦特原油价格体系中程式化事实的实证研究

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In this paper, based on the time series of Brent crude oil prices (daily spot),by introducing some functions to explore empirically the price dynamics and behaviors in crude oil prices, we investigate the information in price system and analyze the price behaviors especially the system memory mechanism of historical information, thus we discuss the longterm memory mechanism existed and analyze numerically the non-periodic cycles in the system; furthermore, we find nontrivial fractal features and multi-affine spectra in Brent price system; finally, we calculate the two-time autocorrelation functions and get exponential decay for small values. All numerical results support that there exist stylized facts in Brent crude oil price system.
机译:本文基于布伦特原油价格的时间序列(每日现货),通过引入一些函数以经验方式探索原油价格的价格动态和行为,我们研究了价格体系中的信息并分析了价格行为,特别是价格行为。历史信息的系统存储机制,因此,我们讨论了存在的长期存储机制,并对系统中的非周期循环进行了数值分析。此外,我们在布伦特价格体系中发现了非平凡的分形特征和多仿射谱。最后,我们计算了两次自相关函数,并获得了较小值的指数衰减。所有数值结果都支持在布伦特原油价格体系中存在程式化的事实。

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