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Heterogeneous Beliefs, Option Prices, and Volatility Smiles

机译:异构信念,期权价格和波动率微笑

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In an economy in which investors with different time preferences have heterogeneous beliefs about a dividend’s mean growth rate, the volatility of the stock that claims the dividend is stochastic in equilibrium. The prices of the vanilla European options that are written on this stock admit closed-form solutions, hence their hedging deltas. The implied volatility surface exhibits the observed patterns that are widely documented in various options markets.Furthermore, the prices of barrier options and hedging deltas can be approximated at any desired level of accuracy. In some cases, barrier and one-touch options prices and their hedging deltas can be closely bounded by closed-form formulae. In summary, the options pricing model that is developed in this paper not only offers a rational for the observed implied volatility patterns in an equilibrium setting but also is easy to use in practice.
机译:在经济中,具有不同时间偏好的投资者对股息的平均增长率抱有不同的看法,要求股息的股票的波动性在均衡中是随机的。写在该股票上的普通欧洲期权价格接受封闭式解决方案,因此可以套期保值。隐含波动率表面表现出在各种期权市场中广泛记录的观察到的模式,此外,障碍期权和对冲三角洲的价格可以在任何所需的准确性水平上进行近似估算。在某些情况下,障碍和一键式期权的价格及其对冲增量可能受封闭式公式的限制。总之,本文开发的期权定价模型不仅为均衡环境下的隐含波动率模式提供了合理的依据,而且在实践中也易于使用。

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