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Determination of uncertainties in safety studyies for nuclear and chemical plants and their interpretation

机译:核电厂和化工厂安全研究中不确定性的确定及其解释

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Data uncertainties are present in any engineering calucation. Their impact may be particularly important if they concenr the safety of insutrial installations. Procedures are presentded to deal with such uncertainties. Their propagation through calculations by means of a Monte-Carlo approach is shown. Methods for interpretaing the resulting distributions are presented. Among them figure the use of loss functions and entropy based relative information. Examples from safety studies for both nuclear and chemical plants illustrate practical applications. It is demonstrated that the inclusion of uncertainties provides a more reliable base for decisions and hendce helps to avoid errors.
机译:数据不确定性存在于任何工程计算中。如果它们能确保工业安装的安全性,那么它们的影响可能尤其重要。提出了处理此类不确定性的程序。通过蒙特卡洛方法的计算显示了它们的传播。介绍了解释结果分布的方法。其中包括损失函数和基于熵的相对信息的使用。核电厂和化工厂的安全性研究实例说明了实际应用。事实证明,不确定性的纳入为决策提供了更可靠的基础,而使用hendce有助于避免错误。

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