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Constrained monotone regression of ROC curves and histograms using splines and polynomials

机译:使用样条和多项式约束ROC曲线和直方图的单调回归

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Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves have the property that they start at (0,1) and end at (1,0) and are monotonically decreasing. Furthermore, a parametric representation for the curves is more natural, since ROCs need not be single valued functions: they can start with infinite slope. We show how to fit parametric splines and polynomials to ROC data with the end-point and monotonicity constraints. Spline and polynomial representations provide us a way of computing derivatives at various locations of the ROC curve, which are necessary in order to find the optimal operating points. Density functions are not monotonic but the cumulative density functions are. Thus in order to fit a spline to a density function, we fit a monotonic spline to the cumulative density function and then take the derivative of the fitted spline function. Just as ROCs have end-point constraints, the density functions have end-point constraints. Furthermore, derivatives of splines are spline functions and can be computed in closed form. Thus smoothing of histograms can also be treated as a constrained monotone regression problem. The algorithms were implementation in a mathematical programming language called AMPL and results on sample data sets are given.
机译:接收器工作特性(ROC)曲线具有以下特性:它们开始于(0,1),结束于(1,0),并且单调递减。此外,曲线的参数表示更为自然,因为ROC不必是单值函数:它们可以以无限斜率开始。我们展示了如何使用端点和单调性约束将参数样条和多项式拟合到ROC数据。样条曲线和多项式表示法为我们提供了一种在ROC曲线的各个位置计算导数的方法,这对于找到最佳工作点是必不可少的。密度函数不是单调的,但累积密度函数是单调的。因此,为了将样条曲线拟合到密度函数,我们将单调样条曲线拟合到累积密度函数,然后取拟合的样条曲线函数的导数。正如ROC具有端点约束一样,密度函数也具有端点约束。此外,样条的导数是样条函数,可以以闭合形式计算。因此,直方图的平滑也可以视为约束单调回归问题。这些算法是用称为AMPL的数学编程语言实现的,并给出了样本数据集的结果。

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