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Temperature Prediction for Finish Entry of Hot Strip Mill Based on Data-driven

机译:基于数据驱动的热轧机精轧机入口温度预测

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In the production and control of hot-rolled strip, the prediction accuracy of the finish rolling inlet temperature directly affects the temperature control of the subsequent finish rolling outlet temperature and coiling temperature. The heat exchange during the cooling process of the strip is a very complicated nonlinear process, which is difficult to accurately express with mathematical models. However, data-driven models can represent nonlinear processes very well. This paper uses data-driven temperature prediction of the finishing rolling inlet for the full length of the slab surface, and uses the factors related to the full length temperature of the rolled slab surface in the hot continuous rolling line as training data to predict the next full surface temperature at the finishing rolling inlet. Aiming at the problems of traditional prediction models that have low accuracy, many input parameters, and difficult prediction, a gray wolf algorithm optimized BP neural network (GWO-BP) prediction model is proposed. This model is suitable for prediction of the entrance temperature of the final rolling. The experimental results were verified that the GWO-BP prediction model is suitable for the prediction of the entrance temperature of finishing rolling compared with Particle Swarm Optimization Support Vector Machine (PSO-SVR) and Genetic Algorithm Optimized Support Vector Machine (GA-SVR). Finally, the GWO-BP model was further improved to obtain and verify the AGWO-BP model. The experimental results show that the data-driven finish rolling temperature prediction model built in this paper has high prediction accuracy and prediction ability, which is of great significance for practical applications.
机译:在热轧带钢的生产和控制中,精轧进口温度的预测精度直接影响后续精轧出口温度和卷取温度的温度控制。带钢冷却过程中的热交换是一个非常复杂的非线性过程,很难用数学模型准确表达。但是,数据驱动的模型可以很好地表示非线性过程。本文采用数据驱动的板坯表面全长的温度预测,并以与热连轧生产线上的板坯表面全长温度有关的因素作为训练数据来预测下一个精轧入口处的全表面温度。针对传统预测模型精度低,输入参数多,预测困难的问题,提出了一种灰狼算法优化的BP神经网络(GWO-BP)预测模型。该模型适合预测最终轧制的入口温度。实验结果证明,与粒子群优化支持向量机(PSO-SVR)和遗传算法优化支持向量机(GA-SVR)相比,GWO-BP预测模型适用于精轧入口温度的预测。最后,对GWO-BP模型进行了进一步的改进,以获得并验证了AGWO-BP模型。实验结果表明,本文建立的数据驱动精轧温度预测模型具有较高的预测精度和预测能力,对实际应用具有重要意义。

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