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Branching Transitions for Semi-Markov Processes with Application to Safety-Critical Systems

机译:半马尔可夫过程的分支转移及其在安全关键系统中的应用

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When developing safety-critical systems, performing dependability analyses such as computing the reliability is of utmost importance. In the safety standard IEC61508, Markov processes are suggested for quantifying the reliability. However, real-world systems can not always be accurately modeled as a Markov process. Semi-Markov Processes (SMPs) generalizes Markov processes to allow for more accurate models. It has been previously suggested that a intuitive modeling approach of semi-Markov processes is to assign a timer to each possible transition. These timers race to first reach zero which triggers the corresponding transition. However, some situations such as non-perfect diagnostic procedures cannot be modeled with these transition timers. As the first, and main contribution, the theory of modeling SMPs with transition timers is extended with branching transitions, i.e. transitions with several possible output states. The second contribution is tool support for dependability analyses of SMPs modeled with branching transitions. A use case example of an automotive steering system modeled as an SMP with transition timers and with branching transitions is considered and analyzed.
机译:在开发对安全至关重要的系统时,执行可靠性分析(例如计算可靠性)至关重要。在安全标准IEC61508中,建议使用马尔可夫过程来量化可靠性。但是,现实世界中的系统无法始终准确地建模为马尔可夫过程。半马尔可夫过程(SMP)概括了马尔可夫过程以允许使用更准确的模型。先前已经提出,半马尔可夫过程的直观建模方法是为每个可能的过渡分配一个计时器。这些计时器争先到达零,从而触发相应的转换。但是,某些情况(例如不完善的诊断过程)无法使用这些转换计时器来建模。作为第一个也是主要的贡献,使用转移计时器对SMP进行建模的理论扩展了分支转移,即具有几种可能的输出状态的转移。第二个贡献是为使用分支转移建模的SMP进行可靠性分析提供了工具支持。考虑并分析了一个汽车转向系统的用例,该系统被建模为具有过渡计时器和分支过渡的SMP。

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