Bayesian Modeling Approach in Big Data Contexts: an Application in Spatial Epidemiology

摘要

In this work we propose a novel scalable Bayesian modeling approach to smooth mortality risks borrowing information from neighbouring regions in high-dimensional spatial disease mapping contexts. The method is based on the well-known "divide and conquer" approach, so that the spatial domain is divided into D subregions where local spatial models can be fitted simultaneously. Model fitting and inference has been carried out using the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) technique. Male colorectal cancer mortality data in the municipalities of continental Spain have been analyzed using the new model proposals. Results show that the new modeling approach is very competitive in terms of model fitting criteria when compared with a global spatial model, and it is computationally much more efficient.