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Generative Adversarial Networks for Operational Scenario Planning of Renewable Energy Farms: A Study on Wind and Photovoltaic

机译:可再生能源农场运营方案规划的生成对抗网络:风能和光伏发电研究

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For the integration of renewable energy sources, power grid operators need realistic information about the effects of energy production and consumption to assess grid stability. Recently, research in scenario planning benefits from utilizing generative adversarial networks (GANs) as generative models for operational scenario planning. In these scenarios, operators examine temporal as well as spatial influences of different energy sources on the grid. The analysis of how renewable energy resources affect the grid enables the operators to evaluate the stability and to identify potential weak points such as a limiting transformer. However, due to their novelty, there are limited studies on how well GANs model the underlying power distribution. This analysis is essential because, e.g., especially extreme situations with low or high power generation are required to evaluate grid stability. We conduct a comparative study of the Wasserstein distance, binary-cross-entropy loss, and a Gaussian copula as the baseline applied on two wind and two solar datasets with limited data compared to previous studies. Both GANs achieve good results considering the limited amount of data, but the Wasserstein GAN is superior in modeling temporal and spatial relations, and the power distribution. Besides evaluating the generated power distribution over all farms, it is essential to assess terrain specific distributions for wind scenarios. These terrain specific power distributions affect the grid by their differences in their generating power magnitude. Therefore, in a second study, we show that even when simultaneously learning distributions from wind parks with terrain specific patterns, GANs are capable of modeling these individualities also when faced with limited data. These results motivate a further usage of GANs as generative models in scenario planning as well as other areas of renewable energy.
机译:为了整合可再生能源,电网运营商需要有关能源生产和消耗影响的现实信息,以评估电网的稳定性。最近,方案规划的研究得益于将生成对抗网络(GAN)用作运行方案规划的生成模型。在这些情况下,操作员将检查不同能源对电网的时间和空间影响。对可再生能源如何影响电网的分析使运营商能够评估稳定性并确定潜在的弱点,例如限位变压器。然而,由于它们的新颖性,关于GAN如何很好地建模基础功率分布的研究很少。该分析是必不可少的,因为,例如,尤其需要用低功率或高功率发电的极端情况来评估电网稳定性。与之前的研究相比,我们对Wasserstein距离,二元交叉熵损失和高斯copula作为基线应用于两个风和两个太阳数据集的数据进行了比较研究。考虑到有限的数据量,这两种GAN都取得了良好的结果,但是Wasserstein GAN在建模时间和空间关系以及功率分布方面表现优异。除了评估所有农场的发电量分布之外,评估风能场景中特定于地形的分布也很重要。这些特定于地形的功率分布通过其发电功率大小的差异影响电网。因此,在第二项研究中,我们表明,即使同时从具有特定地形模式的风电场中学习分布,当面对有限的数据时,GAN仍能够对这些个体进行建模。这些结果激发了在情景规划以及其他可再生能源领域中将GAN作为生成模型的进一步应用。

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