Landslide susceptibility mapping at Dodangeh watershed, Iran, using LR and ANN models in GIS

摘要

Landslide is among the most common geologic hazard around the world. They cause many formidable damages and numerous deaths annually. There are multiple causes for every landslide. Landslide causes are classified into three categories, namely, physical, natural, and human. Maps are a valuable and appropriate tool for presenting information on landslide. Landslide susceptibility maps is one of the most useful source of information for landuse planners. A landslide susceptibility map represents zones that have the potential for landslide. These zones are identified by correlation between the past distribution of landslide occurrence and conditioning factors that contribute to landslide. This study employs logistic regression (LR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) models to assess landslide susceptibility in Dodangeh Watershed, Mazandaran Province, Iran. The spatial database included landslide inventory, altitude, slope angle and aspect, plan and profile curvatures, distance from faults and from stream, stream power index (SPI), topographic wetness index (TWI), sediment transport index (STI), terrain roughness index (TRI), landuse and lithology. Validation of the models using receiver operating characteristics and overall accuracy indicates that both models display satisfactory performance, and LR model exhibits the most stable and best performance. Given the outcomes of the study, the LR model, which has an AUC value of 0.872 and an overall accuracy of 82.59%, and the ANN model, which has a AUC value of 0.77 and an overall accuracy of 71% are promising techniques for landslide susceptibility mapping.