Development of a Risk-Informed Decision Support Model for Protecting an Urban Medical Center from a Nuclear Explosion

摘要

(a) There was a good correlation between the results in the selected literature references. Only Brode [2] presented formulae that gave different results of the predicted shock front and the shock-induced air velocities. Further research will be based on the parameters of the shock wave described in the ASCE appendices [4] since they include the largest range of shock waves enabling the analysis of numerous explosion scenarios. (b) For the medical center used in the model, which was shown to suffer damage even from a distant explosion, strengthening the structure by exchanging the present walls by a 40 cm reinforced concrete will greatly reduce the predicted damage and provide resistance even in more extreme scenarios.