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DEVELOPMENT OF A SEA-STATE DATABASE IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN BY LONG-TERM NUMERICAL HINDCAST MODELLING

机译:长期数值模拟在西北太平洋海域数据库的开发

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In the Northwest Pacific zone, all the active nuclear power plants are located in coastal areas. The extreme typhoon waves, which occur in summer and autumn, pose great risks on the nuclear facilities and related coastal infrastructures. To facilitate the assessment of the impact of typhoon waves over the whole Chinese coastal line, detailed data of the sea state over this region is necessary. For this reason, a numerical sea state data base, which includes the North-West Pacific Ocean is under construction. It will range over several decades, to provide long-term wave data in this area. An oceanic wave model with a triangular mesh covering the whole Pacific Ocean has been set up by using the third generation spectral wave model TOMAWAC. The model is calibrated by comparing the simulation results over the period of January 1999 and during typhoon Muifa (1109) to buoy data. The numerical result of significant wave height (SWH) shows an excellent agreement with the oceanic buoy observations. The minimum values of the average bias between prediction and measurement is around 2-3 cm. The prediction of mean period (MP), however, is less accurate than the results of SWH. The model underestimates the mean period with amplitudes of around 0.6-1.2 s. Five different configurations of the source terms in TOMAWAC were tested during the calibration to find the best results. The comparisons show that the BAJ configuration can provide most accurate results of SWH. The predictions for configurations JKD and J WD show best results of MP. However, the SWD configuration provides the worse results for both of SWH and MP.
机译:在西北太平洋地区,所有活跃的核电站都位于沿海地区。夏季和秋季发生的极端台风波对核设施和相关沿海基础设施构成了巨大风险。为了便于评估台风对整个中国沿海线的影响,有必要提供该地区海况的详细数据。因此,正在建设一个包括西北太平洋的海况数字数据库。它将提供几十年的时间,以提供该地区的长期波浪数据。利用第三代谱波模型TOMAWAC建立了覆盖整个太平洋的三角网格海浪模型。通过比较1999年1月期间和台风Muifa(1109)期间的仿真结果与浮标数据对模型进行校准。显着波高(SWH)的数值结果与海洋浮标观测值显示出极好的一致性。预测和测量之间的平均偏差的最小值约为2-3 cm。但是,平均周期(MP)的预测不如SWH的结果准确。该模型低估了平均周期,其幅度大约为0.6-1.2 s。在校准过程中,对TOMAWAC中源词的五种不同配置进行了测试,以找到最佳结果。比较表明,BAJ配置可以提供最准确的SWH结果。配置JKD和J WD的预测显示了MP的最佳结果。但是,SWD配置为SWH和MP都提供了较差的结果。

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