Modeling and analysis of postoperative intervention process for total joint replacement patients using simulations

摘要

This paper studies the post-surgery care process for total joint replacement (TJR) patients. First, factors affecting readmission risks are identified and a multivariate logistic regression model is introduced to predict a patient's readmission probability from the patient profile. Based on readmission risk and patient eligibility, different intervention processes can be carried out. Specifically, three intervention options are considered: nursing home, home care service, and self-care. A discrete-event simulation model is introduced to illustrate how intervention process moves along the 90 day post discharge phase. Finally, the models are used to identify the best intervention strategy to reduce overall readmission rate with minimal cost.