Dengue Agent-Based Model in South American Temperate Zone

摘要

Dengue is a disease that is increasing yearly in number of cases and severity in temperate zones. Different actions have been taken for controlling this disease in the central region of Argentina, without anticipating the effectiveness of these interventions. Therefore, considering the weather conditions of the zone under study, a mathematical model was implemented that was capable of reproducing the information surveyed about dengue-infected patients in another South American temperate zone. Then, in attempting to reproduce the heterogeneity in population density and in the contact between humans and AedesAegypti mosquitoes, as well as the impact of randomness on these systems, an Agent-Based Model (ABM) was implemented. Said model is based on data surveyed about the target population and anticipates the possible results of some interventions suggested by epidemiologists.