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Chaos and Stability of the Financial System

机译:金融体系的混乱与稳定

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摘要

Financial stability is one of the most widely discussed issues in today's economic literature. The relevance of analyses on financial stability was first recognized during the international financial crises at the end of the 90s, also strengthened by the financial and economic crisis emerging in 2007. Even if an economical system possesses deterministic characteristics, a chaotic behavior can occur in the financial system. Because of slight errors, chaotic dynamical systems can lead to completely different trajectories. Hence, the chaos control in the financial systems is required. In this paper, we analyze the stability of equilibria of a financial system described by three dynamic equations and apply stabilization techniques for the unstable equilibrium state of the system. Our results are essentially based on the Theorem of allotting the characteristic polynomial (see, e.g. [1], Theorem 2.2.3). We also suggest the use of optimal stabilization, by means of a quadratic loss-function.
机译:金融稳定是当今经济文献中讨论最广泛的问题之一。最初在90年代末的国际金融危机期间就认识到金融稳定性分析的相关性,而2007年出现的金融和经济危机也加强了这种分析的相关性。即使经济系统具有确定性特征,金融体系中也会出现混乱的行为。金融系统。由于轻微的误差,混沌动力学系统可能导致完全不同的轨迹。因此,需要金融系统中的混乱控制。在本文中,我们分析了由三个动力学方程描述的金融系统均衡的稳定性,并将稳定技术应用于系统的不稳定平衡状态。我们的结果基本上基于分配特征多项式的定理(例如参见[1],定理2.2.3)。我们还建议通过二次损失函数来使用最佳稳定度。

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