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Droughts and governance impacts on water scarcity: an analysis in the Brazilian semi-arid

机译:对水资源稀缺的干旱和治理影响:巴西半干旱分析

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Extreme events are part of climate variability. Dealing with variability is still a challenge that might be increased due to climate change. However, impacts of extreme events are not only dependent on their variability, but also on management and governance. In Brazil, its semi-arid region is vulnerable to extreme events, especially droughts, for centuries. Actually, other Brazilian regions that have been mostly concerned with floods are currently also experiencing droughts. This article evaluates how a combination between climate variability and water governance might affect water scarcity and increase the impacts of extreme events on some regions. For this evaluation, Ostrom's framework for analyzing social-ecological systems (SES) was applied. Ostrom's framework is useful for understanding interactions between resource systems, governance systems and resource users. This study focuses on social-ecological systems located in a drought-prone region of Brazil. Two extreme events were selected, one in 1997-2000, when Brazil's new water policy was very young, and the other one in 2012-2015. The analysis of SES considering Ostrom's principle "Clearly defined boundaries" showed that deficiencies in water management cause the intensification of drought's impacts for the water users. The reasons are more related to water management and governance problems than to drought event magnitude or climate change. This is a problem that holdup advances in dealing with extreme events.
机译:极端事件是气候变异性的一部分。处理变异性仍然是由于气候变化可能增加的挑战。然而,极端事件的影响不仅取决于他们的可变性,而且对管理和治理也是如此。在巴西,其半干旱地区易受几个世纪的极端事件,特别是干旱。实际上,其他大多关注洪水的巴西地区目前还在经历干旱。本文评估了气候变异性和水处理之间的组合如何影响水资源稀缺,并增加极端事件对一些地区的影响。对于这种评估,奥斯特罗姆分析社会生态系统(SES)的框架是应用的。 Ostrom的框架对于了解资源系统,治理系统和资源用户之间的交互是有用的。本研究侧重于位于巴西干旱地区的社会生态系统。选择了两个极端事件,一是1997 - 2000年,当巴西的新水政政策很年轻,而另一个在2012-2015中。考虑鸵鸟原则的SES分析“明确界定的界限”表明,水管理缺陷导致干旱对水用户的影响的强化。原因与水管理和治理问题更有关,而不是干旱事件幅度或气候变化。这是一个持有处理极端事件的问题。

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