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Cloud-based long term electricity demand forecasting using artificial neuro-fuzzy and neural networks

机译:基于人工神经模糊和神经网络的基于云的长期电力需求预测

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The supply-demand equilibrium is the main criteria for determination of electricity pricing for both electrical power production companies and ordinary (household) users. The companies must be sure about future demands of electricity for uninterrupted efficient electrical supply. The demand of electricity is affected from weather conditions, process of economy, working and nonworking days of a year, etc. Therefore, forecasting demand by using current and historical data is very important for electricity trading and producing companies. In this study, a cloud-based forecasting service which is based on neural network model is proposed for long-term electricity demand forecasting of Turkey. Cloud based nature of the proposed system help continuous training and improved forecasting capability over time from the system. Following year overall electric demand is approximately estimated with neural network and artificial neuro-fuzzy inference systems.
机译:供需平衡是确定电力生产公司和普通(家庭)用户的电价的主要标准。公司必须确定未来对不间断高效电力供应的需求。电力需求受天气条件,经济流程,一年的工作和非工作日等影响。因此,使用当前和历史数据预测需求对电力贸易和生产公司而言非常重要。在这项研究中,提出了一种基于神经网络模型的基于云的预测服务,用于土耳其的长期电力需求预测。所提议系统的基于云的性质有助于随着时间的推移从系统进行连续训练并提高预测能力。第二年,通过神经网络和人工神经模糊推理系统,可以大致估算出总的电力需求。

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