Long-Term Electricity Supply-Demand Planning Simulation Using TEEP Model

摘要

This paper reports the application of new developed "Tool for Electricity Energy Planning" (TEEP), an accounting framework based bottom-up model to simulate long-term electricity supply-demand planning. The simulation is carried out using electricity sector data of Banyuwangi regency in East Java province, Indonesia. The projection of electricity demand and supply which consider fossil fuel as well as renewable energy potential is taken into account in the simulation to find the resources allocation implications and generation costs. The total electricity demand would increase up to 2,027.5 GWh from the initial value of 783.4 GWh. In the case of generation mix, the total generation costs of coal fired power plant could be reduced by 450 Million US$ and potential coal saving would be 4.375 thousand ton, among other findings.