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THE USE OF AIR PASSENGER SURVEY DATA IN FORECASTING AIR TRAVEL DEMAND

机译:航空旅客调查数据在预测航空旅行需求中的应用

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Econometric models of air travel demand form an essential tool in the preparation of air travel forecasts that form the basis for a wide range of planning activities in air transportation and airport operation and development. However, most air travel demand models attempt to predict aggregate demand for air travel and do not consider differences in the use of air travel across different segments of the population or how changes in economic factors or the way in which air service is provided affect different types of air trip differently. The paper addresses the need for a more disaggregate approach to understanding how travel propensity varies across different segments of the population or how the characteristics of air travelers vary across different markets and examines the potential role of air passenger surveys in meeting this need. It reviews the factors that may influence air travel propensity, describes the information on air traveler characteristics that is typically collected in air passenger surveys, and presents an analysis of the variation in air travel propensity with household income and composition, based on data from a recent air passenger survey performed in the San Francisco Bay Area. The paper concludes with some recommendations for improving access to air passenger survey data to support further research into these issues.
机译:航空旅行需求的计量经济学模型是准备工作的重要工具 航空旅行预测,这些预测构成了美国范围内各种计划活动的基础 航空运输和机场运营与发展。但是,大多数空气 旅行需求模型试图预测航空旅行的总需求并 不考虑跨不同航段使用航空旅行的差异 人口或经济因素或航空服务方式的变化 所提供的对不同类型的空中旅行的影响不同。 该文件解决了需要采用更分类的方法 了解旅行倾向在不同人群之间的变化 人口或航空旅客的特征在不同市场之间如何变化 并研究了航空客运调查在满足这一需求方面的潜在作用。它 回顾可能影响航空旅行倾向的因素,并描述 通常在空气中收集的有关旅行者特征的信息 旅客调查,并提供航空旅行变化的分析 根据最近的数据,家庭收入和构成的倾向 在旧金山湾区进行的航空旅客调查。论文 最后提出了一些建议,以改善乘飞机的乘客 调查数据以支持对这些问题的进一步研究。

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