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Chapter 62 Predicting the Trend of Flight Safety State by According to Variation of Flight System State

机译:第62章根据飞行系统状态的变化预测飞行安全状态的趋势

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摘要

Correctly analyzing and predicting the trend of flight system safe state will do significant meaning to achieving the goal "zero accident" ultimately. Definitely, flight safety is a magnificent system and involving multiple factors. And the uni-effective method to analyze the complex flight safety system is to adopting synthetical integrating method qualitatively and quantitatively. This article advanced a fuzzy relation synthesis theory which can predict the safety state of flight system by synthetic evaluating the accumulated statistical data of one flight system qualitatively and quantitatively. The new method is manipulation adopted and can be high accuracy.
机译:正确地分析和预测飞行系统安全状态的趋势,对于最终实现“零事故”目标具有重要意义。毫无疑问,飞行安全是一个宏伟的系统,涉及多个因素。分析复杂飞行安全系统的唯一有效方法是定性和定量地采用综合积分法。本文提出了一种模糊关系综合理论,可以通过定性和定量地综合评估一个飞行系统的累积统计数据来预测飞行系统的安全状态。该新方法被采用操纵并且可以是高精度的。

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