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Learning Model for Assessing Loss Severity of Operational Risk

机译:评估操作风险损失严重程度的学习模型

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Risks, deficiencies and other issues identified within the organization should be evaluated and assessed with regard to their severity and significance. Operational risk is one of the risk categories within the banking and financial services community. It is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events. Scenario analyses and risk assessments based on expert opinion should be frequently validated and reassessed by comparing them to actual loss data available over time. On contrary, this paper presents a quantitative operational risk assessment using the technique of backpropagation neural network. The multiple risk causes and resulting loss form a network of interdependencies as a learning model. The risk scenarios collected from expert judgment represents training instances of causal chains and effects. The output model could be used as the substitute of expert assessments for the mature organizations where operational loss data are available.
机译:应评估组织内确定的风险,缺陷和其他问题,并在严重程度和意义上进行评估和评估。业务风险是银行和金融服务社区内的风险类别之一。它被定义为内部流程,人员和系统或外部事件不足或失败的损失风险。基于专家意见的情景分析和风险评估应经常通过与随着时间的推移可用的实际损失数据进行评估并重新评估。相反,本文介绍了使用反向化神经网络技术的定量运行风险评估。多种风险原因和导致损失形成了作为学习模型的相互依存网络。从专家判断中收集的风险场景代表了因果链和效果的培训实例。输出模型可用作运行损耗数据可用的成熟组织的专家评估的替代。

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